History does not repeat itself. However, ignoring the errors of the past can lead to duplicating them. The agreement between Iran and the so-called P5 + 1 countries raises connotations of the earlier agreements, which focused on high hopes.

On 30  September  1938 the British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain referred to the Munich agreement with the words “peace in our lifetime”. Not even a year passed, when Hitler attacked and occupied Poland and as a result Europe was thrust into World War II.

On 17  October  1994 the United States and North Korea reached an agreement with Pyongyang’s secret nuclear weapons program freeze. The next day, President Bill Clinton said the agreement will help to put an end to the threat of proliferation of nuclear weapons on the Korean peninsula.

North Korea claimed that they withdrew from the NPT in January 2003 and re-started its nuclear facilities. Since then, the country’s government has stated that it will not ever return to negotiations and that they are no longer bound by its agreements.

Given Iran’s continuing bluffs – and policy of secrecy, and above all are the repeated violations of UN Security Council resolutions, can the agreement really be an important step towards stabilizing the situation in the Middle East?

Iran has, despite IAEA safeguards, reached advanced nuclear capability of nuclear materials in secret The agreement allows Iran to continue enriching uranium material that exceeds the civilian use of “practical needs”.

The agreement will only delay the time at which Iran achieve nuclear weapons capability. If Iran decides to build a nuclear weapon, it may within the terms of the contract have the ability to enrich uranium quickly and secretly. The agreement does not limit Iranian nuclear weaponization enough, but leaves the way open to achieving a bomb.

Some say that the lifting of sanctions will help Iran to return to more closely into the international community and to promote the economy and the well-being of its citizens. One can also hope it will make Iran play a constructive role in the Middle East. On the other hand termination of the arms embargo can give Iran an opportunity to continue to develop its missile program and to improve conventional military capabilities.

Iran now has access to over a hundred billion Euros. Based on past experiences, these funds are most likely to be used to support anti-Israeli terrorist acts of Hezbollah and Hamas. Subversive activities of Iran in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen may also be increased when Iran considers itself achieiving in the just signed agreement, international legitimacy and a stronger position as a nuclear threshold state.

Nuclear capability in Iranian hands is a game changer. They will almost certainly lead toa nuclear arms race, which undermine regional security in the Middle East. Equipped with nuclear weapons, Iran is a threat to both Israel and elsewhere in the Middle East and further countries abroad.

Dan Ashbel the Israeli ambassador to Finland