Keeping in mind that, all immigration is done for the benefit of the host country, not for the individual (potential citizen)…
If certain people are a net drag on society, then allowing, let alone encouraging, immigration from their home countries is entirely reprehensible if you are of the opinion that we live to secure the future for our children.
Immigration and Public
Finances in Finland
Life-Cycle Effects on Public Finances of
Asylum-Seekers and Refugees
In the fields of economics and statistics where a situation contains elements of uncertainty, ’decision
theory’ (also called ’decision analysis’) has been developed to maximize the expected utility for the
decision-maker from his decisions. From the Finnish public finance point of view, this means that no
new migrants should be welcomed to Finland when the expected values of life-cycle effects, discounted
to present value, are negative. Hence, because all expected values of life-cycle effects, discounted to
present value, are negative for all migrants born in Iraq or Somalia:
The conclusion of the study is that from the standpoint of the public finances of Finland it is not
beneficial to take any migrants born in Iraq or Somalia.
The same conclusion holds for whichever way the results are broken down: by age, by years of education,
the age when the migrant arrives in Finland or their employment status. Quite simply, there is no net
benefit for Finland to accept asylum-seekers or quota refugees from Iraq and Somalia when the ’revenues
to Finnish public finances in Euros’ and ’expenditures in Euros to Finnish public finances’ are actually
counted and compared over whole life spans.
The conclusions here do not change if the level of uncertainty with respect to the future is increased,
with ’white noise’, as the expected values remain the same even though the prediction standard deviations
increase. Only if there would be reliable outside data affecting paid taxes, social benefits, etc. – amounting
to hundreds of thousands of Euros – would there be a change giving a positive effect.