The stakes are that high.
I’ve been saying for what almost seems like ever, that they who refuse to believe that the Iranians will use nukes on Israel, (I believe that they’re fanatical enough to use them), I have always laid this at their doorstep: If you think that the Mullah regime is brutal against minorities now, just wait until they achieve nuke weapons status. Then it’s off with the kid gloves.
Read also Andy Bostom’s Ignoring the Sharia Basis for Iran’s Persecution of Christians
Majid Rafizadeh: The more Iran’s economy gets on the track, and the more Western oil companies lured to invest in Iran, the more the government and the hardliners will move to increase their campaigns to crackdown on ordinary people and oppositional groups.
As the Iranian government becomes more economically and politically confident in its power and wealth, its position in comparison to other groups inside the country is strengthened, removing the government’s incentive to compromise and respect rule of law.
Iran lures the West while increasing repression
While the government of President Hassan Rowhani is attempting to project a moderate image to Western countries in order to urge the international community to ease some of the political and economic sanctions on Tehran, the actual socio-political and socio-religious status of the nation seems to be different domestically from the projected moderate image.
One of the fundamental reasons behind the Rowhani administration’s efforts to soften its tone has been to address its crumbling economy, which is isolating Tehran and reducing Iranian influence in the region, effectively endangering the ruling clerics and the Ayatollahs’ hold on power within the nation.
Since Rowhani came to power, the administration seems to have been successful in luring back some Western oil groups. Rowhani’s government has been attempting to offer more lucrative contracts to Western and international oil companies to encourage investment throughout Iran cities. Tehran’s oil industry was crippled in the last few years due to the severe economic sanctions aimed at containing Tehran for its nuclear program.
An adviser to Iran’s oil minister, Mehdi Hosseini, was quoted in the Financial Times as saying that the Iranian government is developing a “win-win” form of contract, which can benefit leading companies “whether American or European.” The Iranian government is trying, according to Hosseini, to change the current system of “buyback” contracts, which currently do not permit foreign companies to book reserves or take equity stakes in Iranian oil, gas, or other projects. This will mark a considerable shift in the Iranian oil industry, previously seen as antagonist to foreign investment and foreign ownership of its oil and gas fields.
In addition, according to International Energy Agency (IEA) reports, Iran has already increased its oil exports by 180,000 barrels per day in September, compared to the previous year. This is equivalent to a 26 percent increase. Reports also indicate that crude oil prices will decrease by 10 percent with the Iranian government reintroducing its oil and gas wealth to Western investments, including those from the United States.