Iran obamablunders

J.E.DYER: THE DEAL THAT’LL LAUNCH A THOUSAND ATTACK SORTIES……..

neville-obama

The deal that will launch a thousand attack sorties? (Part 1)

This is Part 1 of a two-part post.  Part 2 is here.

It’s hard to overstate the concern with which we should view the nuclear “deal” concluded with Iran on Saturday, 23 November.  Although everyonewill wait, there is actually nothing to wait for with this deal: nothing to watch develop.  To say “We’ll see what happens,” in terms of Iran’s compliance, is to misunderstand.  As regards what matters to acquiring a nuclear weapon, Iran won’t change anything she’s been doing.*  She may (or may not) put off further some things she had already suspended, or had announced she was going to delay anyway.   But her program will not actually take a step backward.  It’s not even guaranteed to be suspended in place.  Iran will not end up further from being able to test a warhead than she is today.

In exchange for this absence of concessions, the West has given up two important forms of leverage: an acknowledgment, long demanded by Iran, that she has a “right” to enrich uranium; and the comparative unity (such as it was) of the previous – now defunct – UN sanctions regime.

The U.S. formula on Iran’s right to enrich is that we did not accept it in the Geneva deal, but rather agreed to disagree with Iran on it.  Basically, that means we didn’t want our disagreement to be an obstacle to a deal.

However, Iran is quite correct that we have effectively conceded her right to enrich, since we signed a deal that allows her to continue to doing it unfettered.  Regarding the sanctions, doubters will be convinced a year from now that there was no way to reinstate the loosened elements with any semblance of global unity.  Stick a fork in them; they’re done.

More here.

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